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5月南极涛动对青藏高原西部夏季气温影响的诊断分析

张宇 李清泉 余锦华 沈新勇 毕淼 吴清源

气象2024,Vol.50Issue(3):344-356,13.
气象2024,Vol.50Issue(3):344-356,13.DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2023.101701

5月南极涛动对青藏高原西部夏季气温影响的诊断分析

Influence of the Antarctic Oscillation in May on Temperature over the Western Tibetan Plateau in Boreal Summer

张宇 1李清泉 1余锦华 2沈新勇 3毕淼 4吴清源5

作者信息

  • 1. 南京信息工程大学气象灾害教育部重点实验室/气候与环境变化国际合作联合实验室/气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,南京 210044||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 2. 南京信息工程大学气象灾害教育部重点实验室/气候与环境变化国际合作联合实验室/气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,南京 210044
  • 3. 南京信息工程大学气象灾害教育部重点实验室/气候与环境变化国际合作联合实验室/气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心,南京 210044||南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),珠海 519082
  • 4. 中国气象局气候资源经济转化重点开放实验室,重庆市气象科学研究所,重庆 401147
  • 5. 中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The Tibetan Plateau(TP),which is regarded as one of the most sensitive areas to climate war-ming in the world and the largest heat source of the Northern Hemisphere in summer,has been widely concerned.However,there are few studies on the relationship and mechanism between the Antarctic Os-cillation(AAO)and temperature in summer over the TP.Based on observation and reanalysis data such as CRU monthly temperature,NOAA global monthly sea surface temperature data(ERSSTv5),and AAO index from 1979 to 2020,this paper shows that there is a significant negative correlation between the tem-perature over the western TP in summer and the AAO in May through linear regression analysis and other methods.That is,when the AAO anomaly is positive in May,the temperature over the western TP in summer is abnormally high.The process of its influence is that when the AAO is in a positive phase,a"negative-positive-negative"meridional"Tripole"sea surface temperature mode appears in the mid to high latitudes of the southern Indian Ocean.This mode can last until summer,inducing the wind anomaly over the Indian Ocean in the zonal and vertical direction.The precipitation anomaly between the tropical west-ern Indian Ocean and the eastern Indian Ocean-Maritime Continent leads to a tropical"Dipole"rainfall mode.As a response,abnormal anticyclone circulation and downward movement appear over the western TP,which is conducive to the high temperature there.The research results in this paper indicate that the thermal inertia of the ocean plays an important role as a bridge in the process of prolonging the influence of the AAO,and it can provide scientific basis for the prediction of summer temperature over the TP.

关键词

南极涛动/青藏高原/印度洋/气温

Key words

Antarctic Oscillation(AAO)/Tibetan Plateau/Indian Ocean/temperature

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张宇,李清泉,余锦华,沈新勇,毕淼,吴清源..5月南极涛动对青藏高原西部夏季气温影响的诊断分析[J].气象,2024,50(3):344-356,13.

基金项目

第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究(2019QZKK0208)、国家重点研发计划(2022YFE0136000)、国家自然科学基金项目(U2242207、42105037)、中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA20100304)和中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2022J039、CXFZ2023J003)共同资助 (2019QZKK0208)

气象

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-0526

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