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青藏高原气候变化及其对水资源影响的研究进展

包文 段安民 游庆龙 胡蝶

气候变化研究进展2024,Vol.20Issue(2):158-169,12.
气候变化研究进展2024,Vol.20Issue(2):158-169,12.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2023.247

青藏高原气候变化及其对水资源影响的研究进展

Research progress on climate change and its impact on water resources over the Tibetan Plateau

包文 1段安民 2游庆龙 3胡蝶4

作者信息

  • 1. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京 100190||中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院,北京 100049
  • 2. 厦门大学,厦门 361005
  • 3. 复旦大学,上海 200433
  • 4. 中国科学院大气物理研究所,北京 100029
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This article reviews the studies on the characteristics,causes,and impacts of climate change over Tibetan Plateau(TP)in recent 20 years,particularly in recent 10 years.Since 1960,the overall temperature over the TP has significantly increased and there is a significant altitude dependence.Greenhouse gases,feedback of ice and snow albedo,and of cloud-water vapor-radiation,as well as the local forcing are important factors affecting the altitude dependence of the TP warming.The precipitation on the TP shows an overall increasing trend,and shows stronger regional and seasonal differences than surface air temperature changes.The spatial variation of precipitation is mainly divided into north-south dipole,east-west dipole,central and marginal difference type,and multivariate type.The most significant precipitation increase occurs in summer.Affected by climate change and anthropogenic aerosol emissions,the water resources especially cryosphere water resources over the TP have undergone drastic changes,including accelerated glacier shrinkage,increased glacier runoff,severe lake expansion,leading to climate warming and humidification.The changes in snow cover on the TP have shown significantly interdecadal variations.Finally,further research and policy recommendations are proposed.

关键词

青藏高原/气候变化/水资源/影响/研究进展

Key words

The Tibetan Plateau/Climate change/Water resources/Impact/Research progress

引用本文复制引用

包文,段安民,游庆龙,胡蝶..青藏高原气候变化及其对水资源影响的研究进展[J].气候变化研究进展,2024,20(2):158-169,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(91937302,42288101) (91937302,42288101)

气候变化研究进展

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1673-1719

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