水利学报2024，Vol.55Issue(3)：266-277,287,13.DOI:10.13243/j.cnki.slxb.20230433
协调公平与效率的"四水四定"研究Ⅱ:应用
Study on"water dominates development"based on equity and efficiency Ⅱ:application
摘要
Abstract
Drought and water shortage are the basic water conditions in Ningxia,and water-based development is the only way for Ningxia's high-quality development.Aiming at the water resources conditions and socio-economic characteristics of Ningxia,the objective function and classification constraints are established according to the re-quirements of"water dominates development"multi-objective optimization model.The feasible range of development space and water use efficiency is obtained by analyzing the coordination relationship between water and"human,industry,land,and urban",or"Four Determinations".The rigid guarantee demand is defined based on the development strategy.Following the principle of"ensuring rigid demand,efficiency driving and regional bal-ance",the analysis of the"water dominates development"scheme in the whole region is carried out based on coun-ty-level units,and the scale control objectives and water allocation scheme of"Four Determinations"are obtained.The results show that under the constraints of total water use of 7.327 billion m3 and water consumption of 4.15 billion m3 in the whole region,the"Four Determinations"scale that meets the overall well-off level is 7.5 million people,548.1 billion yuan GDP,0.847 million hm2 irrigation area and 791 km2 built-up area.The comprehensive evaluation shows that the"water dominates development"scheme meets the requirements of high quality,and has higher regional balance and water fairness than the current situation.The relationship between objectives of efficiency and equity is an-alyzed based on scenarios with different preferences,and the results show the significant impacts of settings of objec-tives and restraints,hence the comprehensive evaluation of the scenarios is necessary.By comparing the current situa-tion with the objectives of the"water dominates development"plan,the control countermeasures to guide the layout of regional economic and social development are proposed,which could be referential for relevant decision-making.关键词
四水四定/多目标协调优化/刚性需求/水资源配置/区域均衡Key words
water dominates development/multi-objective optimization/demand of rigidity/water allocation/regional balance分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
游进军,贾玲,王彦兵,杨朝晖,汪林,薛志春..协调公平与效率的"四水四定"研究Ⅱ:应用[J].水利学报,2024,55(3):266-277,287,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(52079143,52209042) （52079143,52209042）
国家重点研发计划课题(2023YFF1304202,2018YFC0407705) （2023YFF1304202,2018YFC0407705）
中国工程院院地合作重大项目(2022NXZD1) （2022NXZD1）
