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中国粮食安全省域评价及障碍因子诊断OA

Provincial Evaluation and Obstacle Factor Diagnosis of Food Security in China

中文摘要英文摘要

粮食安全事关经济健康发展、社会和谐稳定,是防范和化解系统性风险、维护国家安全的重要保障.对粮食安全发展水平进行评价是准确把握中国粮食安全发展现状、合理制定国家粮食安全相关政策措施的手段.本研究以中国粮食安全在新发展阶段所呈现出来的内涵和目标为导向,从数量安全、质量安全、生态安全、经济安全和资源安全5个维度对中国各省份粮食安全进行定量评价,并进行障碍因子分析,剖析中国粮食安全存在的短板和威胁.实证结果表明:2007-2021年,全国各省(自治区、直辖市)(未包括西藏和港澳台地区)的综合评价分值整体呈波动上升趋势;数量安全和生态安全是权重相对较高的评价维度,也是影响中国粮食安全的主要障碍维度.基于此,保障和提升中国粮食安全水平,需要从持续推进粮食功能区建设、加强节水工程建设、加大农业生产相关资金投入等方面发力.

Food security is related to healthy economic development,social harmony and stability,and is an important guarantee for preventing and resolving systemic risks and safeguarding national security.Evaluating the development level of food security is a means to accurately grasp the current situation of food security development in China and rationally formulate national food security policies and measures.Based on the connotation and goals of China's food security in the new development stage,this paper made a quantitative evaluation of food security in each provincial region from five dimensions:quantity security,quality security,ecological security,economic security and resource security,and analyzed the obstacles and threats in China's food security.The empirical results showed that:from 2007 to 2021,the comprehensive evaluation scores of all provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)(Tibet,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan are not included)fluctuated and increased;quantitative security and ecological security are the evaluation dimensions with relatively high weight,and they are also the main obstacle dimensions affecting China's food security.Based on this,to ensure and improve the level of food security in China,we need to continue to promote the construction of food functional areas,strengthen the construction of water-saving projects,and increase the investment in agricultural production.

宇思默;李青

塔里木大学经济与管理学院新疆 阿拉尔 843300

粮食安全熵值法障碍因子省域评价

food securityentropy methodobstacle factorprovincial evaluation

《农业展望》 2024 (003)

33-42 / 10

塔里木大学研究生创新项目(TDGRI202265)

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