2023年北京市蔬菜市场形势分析与 2024年展望OA
Analysis of the Vegetable Market Situation in Beijing in 2023 and Its Outlook for 2024
2023年,随着新冠疫情消失,蔬菜生产和流通恢复常态,北京市蔬菜市场生产供应好于上年,价格同比回落,但依然高位运行,为历年第二高位水平.另外,2023年蔬菜价格大致符合常年季节性波动规律,但也存在阶段性的异常情况,如在本应价格低位运行的6月和8月却出现了阶段性快速上涨,在11月出现了价格偏低位运行的情况,个别蔬菜甚至出现滞销.本研究通过对北京叶类蔬菜、茄果类蔬菜和耐储类蔬菜价格的年度变化进行分析,指出叶类蔬菜价格受极端天气因素影响较大,茄果类蔬菜价格受寒潮降雪天气影响较大,耐储类蔬菜价格受供需形势影响较大;同时对大白菜、刺黄瓜和姜3个典型品种的价格进行了具体分析.基于此,得出蔬菜价格回落不及预期、价格波动加剧和结构性供需矛盾突出3个问题,并建议从监测预警、引导产业发展、发展设施蔬菜3个方面进行解决.
In 2023,with the disappearance of COVID-19 pandemic and the resumption of normal vegetable production and circulation,the production and supply of vegetables in the Beijing vegetable market were better than last year,and prices fell year-on-year,while remained high level with the second highest in history.In addition,vegetable prices in 2023 generally followed the seasonal fluctuation pattern throughout the year,but there are also periodic abnormal situations.For example,in June and August,when prices were supposed to be low,there was a rapid increase in stages.At the same time,in November,there was a situation of low prices,and some vegetables even experienced unsold.This article analyzed the annual price changes of leafy vegetables,eggplant fruit vegetables,and storage resistant vegetables in Beijing,and pointed out that the prices of leafy vegetables are greatly affected by extreme weather factors,eggplant fruit vegetables are greatly affected by cold waves and snowfall weather,and storage resistant vegetables are greatly affected by the supply and demand situation;at the same time,a specific analysis of the prices of three typical varieties including Chinese cabbage,prickly cucumber,and ginger was made.Based on this,three issues have been identified:lower than expected vegetable prices,intensified price fluctuations,and prominent structural supply-demand contradictions,and it was suggested to address these issues from three aspects:monitoring and early warning,guiding industrial development,and developing facility vegetables.
王增飞;王晓东;赵安平;张琳;杨唯佳
北京市数字农业农村促进中心 北京 100083
蔬菜市场价格波动异常天气北京
vegetable marketprice fluctuationextreme weatherBeijing
《农业展望》 2024 (003)
49-55 / 7
2023年现代农业产业技术体系北京市创新团队项目支持内容(课题编号:BAIC11-2023-10)
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