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新形势下中国油气进口安全面临的挑战及应对建议

蒋珊 刘潇潇 郗凤云 王丹旭 侯晖

国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(4):12-17,6.
国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(4):12-17,6.

新形势下中国油气进口安全面临的挑战及应对建议

Challenges and responses to China's oil and gas import security under the new situation

蒋珊 1刘潇潇 1郗凤云 1王丹旭 1侯晖1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油化工集团经济技术研究院有限公司
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In recent years,especially since the outbreak of the Ukraine issue,the drastic changes in the international geopolitical situation continued to impact the oil and gas market,the Middle East's influence on the global oil market rose,and the United States and Russia's oil trade flow changes.The global natural gas market is experiencing a sub-equilibrium stage from the non-steady situation to the steady situation,the United States increased the export of natural gas,Russia's gas export focus began to shift from Europe to Asian markets.At present,the diversification of China's oil import sources has been greatly improved,but the reserve capacity is still insufficient,and there is a risk of supply cuts in extreme situations such as war.The international natural gas market is still in a situation of sub-equilibrium with weak supply stability,while the domestic natural gas infrastructure is lagging behind,the reserve capacity is insufficient,and the security risk is particularly prominent,which may cause is a risk of supply cuts or price spikes under short-term shocks.In view of the problems faced by China's oil and gas import security,the paper puts forward such suggestions to ensure national energy security as increasing exploration and development efforts,choosing differentiated foreign cooperation strategies,optimizing the structure of imported oil and gas resources,and building and using reserve facilities well.

关键词

油气安全/供应格局/亚平衡/油气储备/基础设施/进口来源

Key words

oil and gas security/supply pattern/sub-equilibrium/oil and gas reserves/infrastructure/import source

引用本文复制引用

蒋珊,刘潇潇,郗凤云,王丹旭,侯晖..新形势下中国油气进口安全面临的挑战及应对建议[J].国际石油经济,2024,32(4):12-17,6.

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