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我国研究生人力资本集聚能否影响非正规就业?OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCI

Can human capital agglomeration of graduate students in China affect informal employment:based on spatial spillover effect and threshold characterization

中文摘要英文摘要

非正规就业在扩大就业容量、缓解就业矛盾等方面发挥着关键作用.本研究基于2008-2021年我国31个省份的面板数据集,构建空间杜宾模型、空间衰减模型和门槛回归模型,分析了研究生人力资本集聚对非正规就业的空间溢出效应和门槛特征.空间溢出效应上,研究生人力资本集聚通过直接效应和间接效应对非正规就业存在正向影响;空间衰减特征上,研究生人力资本集聚对非正规就业的溢出效应存在空间衰减趋势,500 km是辐射范围突变点,1 000 km是最大衰减边界.门槛特征上,研究生人力资本集聚对非正规就业的影响受研究生人力资本集聚和技术创新的干预,前者提升使研究生人力资本集聚对非正规就业的影响由负转正,后者提升使研究生人力资本集聚对非正规就业的正向作用加强.据此,我国要优化研究生人才培养结构,健全非正规就业的制度保障,破除研究生流动壁垒,完善全国统一大市场.

Informal employment plays a key role in expanding employment capacity and alleviating employment conflicts.Based on the panel data set of 31 provinces in China from 2008 to 2021,this study constructed a spatial Durbin model,a spatial decay model and a threshold regression model to analyze the influence mechanism and threshold characteristics of graduate student human capital agglomeration on informal employment.The results show that:in terms of spillover effect,human capital agglomeration of graduate students has a positive effect on informal employment through direct and indirect effects.In terms of spatial attenuation characteristics,the spillover effect has a spatial attenuation trend,500 km is the abrupt point of the radiation range,and 1 000 km is the maximum attenuation boundary.In terms of threshold characteristics,its impact is influenced by the intervention of graduate student human capital concentration and technological innovation.The former increases the impact of graduate student human capital concentration on informal employment from negative to positive,while the latter increases the positive effect of graduate student human capital concentration on informal employment.Based on this,some suggestions are put forward,such as optimizing the training structure of graduate students,perfecting the system guarantee of informal employment,removing barriers to the mobility of graduate students,and perfecting the national unified big market.

赵志强;李·安德鲁

厦门大学教育研究院,福建厦门 361005哥伦比亚大学教育学院,美国纽约10027

教育学

研究生群体人力资本集聚非正规就业技术创新空间溢出效应

graduate student grouphuman capital agglomerationinformal employmenttechno-logical innovationspatial spillover effect

《高校教育管理》 2024 (003)

110-124 / 15

教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(22JJD880034)

10.13316/j.cnki.jhem.20240409.011

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