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太湖流域超标洪水应急调度效益评估

徐天奕 何爽

人民长江2024,Vol.55Issue(4):64-71,8.
人民长江2024,Vol.55Issue(4):64-71,8.DOI:10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2024.04.010

太湖流域超标洪水应急调度效益评估

Benefit evaluation of emergency dispatching for over-standard flood in Taihu Lake Basin

徐天奕 1何爽1

作者信息

  • 1. 太湖流域管理局 水利发展研究中心,上海 200434
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

There are many water conservancy projects in Taihu Lake Basin and these projects' operation is complex.It is of great significance to study how to scientifically evaluate the benefits of flood control and disaster mitigation of water conservancy projects and to formulate engineering plans for river basins.In this study,we integrated a flood inundation simulation model and a flood loss assessment model of Taihu Lake Basin,which can simulate the water level,water quantity,and flood inundation of the river network in the basin under different scenarios.The models can also be used to evaluate the flood loss after the dispatch of different water projects according to the distribution of flood inundation characteristics.Based on the over-standard flood in Taihu Lake Basin in 2020,we simulated the flood disaster situation under the two scenarios of conventional dispatch plan and emergency dispatch plan,and evaluated the disaster mitigation benefits of using the over-standard flood emergency dispatch scheme in flood defense in 2020.The results showed that the use of the over-standard flood emergency dispatch scheme played an important role in defending Taihu Lake over-standard flood in 2020.In particular,increasing the drainage capacity of the two main flood dis-charge channels of Taipu River and Wangyu River can reduce the water level of Taihu Lake by 0.31 m,shorten the duration of high water level in Taihu Lake and adjacent area by1~22 days,reduce the inundation area by180.1 km2,and reduce the direct economic loss of the basin by about 1.62 billion Yuan.The research results can provide a reference for the formulation of flood dispatch schemes and plans in Taihu Lake Basin.

关键词

超标洪水/洪水调度/减灾效益/水文水动力学模型/太湖流域

Key words

over-standard flood/flood control dispatch/disaster mitigation benefit/hydrological and hydrodynamics model/Taihu Lake Basin

分类

水利科学

引用本文复制引用

徐天奕,何爽..太湖流域超标洪水应急调度效益评估[J].人民长江,2024,55(4):64-71,8.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划项目"长江下游洪涝灾害集成调控与应急除险技术装备"(2021YFC3000100) (2021YFC3000100)

人民长江

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1001-4179

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