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中国重大生态工程近40年生态成效整合分析OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

Integrated analysis of ecological effectiveness of major ecological projects in China over the past 40 years

中文摘要英文摘要

我国持续推进实施了系列大规模重大生态工程,科学评估工程取得的成效对于及时掌握工程实际效果是否符合预期目标、针对性地改进优化工程管理措施、促进生态保护修复目标的实现等具有重要意义.通过文献整合分析,从生态系统质量、功能和生物多样性等方面综合评估我国 10 项重大生态工程的生态成效,辨析取得成效的驱动因素贡献差异并总结成效评估产生不确定性的原因.结果表明:工程在国土绿化、碳固定、土壤保持、水源涵养、生物多样性保护等方面产生了良好生态效益,促进工程区植被覆盖度增加(0.19%—26%),生物量(-13%—187%)、固碳量(-7.41%—200%)、土壤保持量(-26.91%—151.52%)、水源涵养量(-64.66%—80.24%)、物种丰富度(-16%—441%)、均匀度指数(-6%—28%)和多样性指数(-5%—315%)总体也呈增加趋势(多年变化率中值>0).但在部分区域也引起了生物量下降、土壤保持能力降低、水文效益减弱、生物多样性损失等问题.生态工程与气候变化的相对贡献率比值在 0.06-3.60 之间,贡献大小存在明显的空间分异并且产生交互耦合作用,多因素耦合作用分解机制仍有待研究.评估对象、数据、尺度、基准、方法及驱动因素拆解差异使得评估结果不确定性极大,相关研究需要重点关注评估基准和尺度的选择、多源数据的融合及同化、工程评估技术体系的改进,综合考虑区域地带性差异、工程措施适宜性和有效性、生态系统服务权衡、驱动因素贡献空间分异等以调整优化工程措施.

China has implemented a series of major ecological projects on a large scale.Evaluating the effectiveness of these projects serves as a pivotal tool to ascertain whether the actual outcomes align with the envisaged objectives.Moreover,it aids in tailoring and refining management measures with specificity,propelling the realization of ecological conservation and restoration objectives.In this study,we conducted a comprehensive evaluation of the ecological efficacy of ten major ecological projects in China.Through a thorough review of relevant literature and rigorous analysis,we assessed these projects in terms of their impacts on ecosystem quality,function and biodiversity.We also dissected the various factors influencing their effectiveness and summarized the sources of uncertainty in these assessments.The findings of this study provide compelling evidence of the substantial ecological benefits resulting from these projects,encompassing improvements in land greening,carbon fixation,soil conservation,water conservation and biodiversity protection.Specifically,they have contributed to a remarkable increase in vegetation cover in the project areas(0.19%—26%)and exhibited overall positive trends in biomass(-13%—187%),carbon sequestration(-7.41%—200%),soil conservation(-26.91%—151.52%),water conservation(-64.66%—80.24%),species richness(-16%—441%),evenness index(-6%—28%),and diversity index(-5%—315%),as indicated by median multi-year rate of greater than zero.Despite the considerable successes observed in various regions,these ecological initiatives have encountered a myriad of challenges that have complicated their outcomes.Some regions have experienced issues such as declining biomass,reduced soil retention capacity,diminished hydrological benefits and biodiversity loss.The relative contribution ratios of ecological engineering versus climate change ranged from 0.06 to 3.60,exhibiting significant spatial disparities between human interventions and natural climatic processes,as well as interactive coupling or synergistic effects.The mechanisms for decomposing the coupling effects of multiple factors and the intricate ways in which these factors combine and influence ecosystems at a local level require in-depth research.The assessment process itself is plagued by considerable uncertainty due to variations in assessment objects,data sources,scales,benchmarks,methodologies and the decomposition of driving factors.Future research in this domain should prioritize the selection of appropriate evaluation benchmarks and scales,as well as the fusion and assimilation of diverse source data.Additionally,enhancing the assessment technology system for ecological engineering is crucial.It should also consider regional geographical zoning differences,appropriateness and effectiveness of engineering measures,trade-offs in ecosystem services,and spatial variations in the contributions of driving factors.Ultimately,these insights will fine-tune and optimize engineering restoration measures.

王岚;曹巍;黄麟

中国科学院大学地理科学与资源研究所 陆地表层格局与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101||中国科学院大学,北京 100049中国科学院大学地理科学与资源研究所 陆地表层格局与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101

重大生态工程生态成效负面效应评估差异综合评估

major ecological projectsecological effectivenessnegative effectsevaluation differencescomprehensive evaluation

《生态学报》 2024 (007)

2673-2687 / 15

第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究(2019QZKK0404);中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA20020401)

10.20103/j.stxb.202308041668

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