历史文化遗产的灾害综合风险评估OA北大核心CSTPCD
Comprehensive disaster risk assessment of historical and cultural heritage
历史文化遗产作为灾害系统中的一类承灾体,也会面临环境突变带来的破坏风险.在明确历史文化遗产灾害风险特征及内涵的基础上,首先以致灾因子、承灾体、孕灾环境、减灾措施为依据,以经典PSR模型为基础,通过引入驱动力、投入和产出3个维度,探索性地提出历史文化遗产的灾害综合风险评估指标体系,并应用层次分析法对指标体系中各项指标的相对权重进行确定;然后运用基于风险标准的多层级模糊综合评价方法对历史文化遗产的灾害综合风险进行评估;最后将所提方法应用于桂林靖江王府历史文化遗产的灾害综合风险评估,从而验证了所提方法的可行性.
Historical and cultural heritage,as a category of disaster-bearing organisms in the disaster system,is also exposed to risk of damage caused by sudden environmental changes.Firstly,based on clarifying the characteristics and connotations of disaster risk for historical and cultural heritage,this paper proposes a comprehensive disaster risk evaluation system based on disaster factors,disaster-bearing body,disaster-conceiving environment,and disaster reduction measures.This study introduces three dimensions,i.e.,drivers,inputs,and outputs,and determines the relative weights of the indexes using the analytic hierarchy process(AHP).Subsequently,a multilevel fuzzy inte-grated evaluation method based on risk criteria is applied to evaluate the comprehensive disaster risk of historical and cultural heritage.Finally,the proposed method is applied to the disaster risk assessment of the historical and cultural heritage of Jingjiang King's Mansion in Guilin,demonstrating the feasibility of the proposed method.
喇瑞萍;郭海湘;张文凯;李良栋;贺战武;陈洪波
中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430078||中国地质大学(武汉)自然灾害风险防控与应急管理实验室,湖北武汉 430074中国地质大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 100083桂林理工大学商学院,广西 桂林 541004桂林市文物保护与考古研究中心,广西 桂林 541001广西师范大学历史文化与旅游学院,广西 桂林 541001
环境科学
历史文化遗产灾害风险评估改进的PSR模型层次分析法
historical and cultural heritagedisaster risk assessmentimproved PSR modelanalytic hierar-chy process(AHP)
《安全与环境工程》 2024 (003)
1-10 / 10
国家自然科学基金项目(71874165、72074198、72001193);国家社会科学基金重点项目(23AZD072);湖北省自然科学基金创新群体项目(2024AFA015)
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