基于演化博弈的民航危险品运输培训监管OA北大核心CSTPCD

To promote the accurate supervision of civil aviation dangerous goods transportation training,im-prove the efficiency of civil aviation supervision,realize the best situation of compliance training and super-vision,and further ensure the safety of aviation transportation,from the perspective of behavioral interac-tion and microeconomics,the evolutionary game method is used to construct the evolutionary game model between the training institutions of dangerous goods transportation and the Civil Aviation Administration.The situational conditions and reasons for the selection of behavioral strategies of the two parties in the game are quantitatively analyzed.The sensitivity of important parameters is numerically simulated and ana-lyzed by using MATLAB software.The influence of four important parameters on the evolution path and results of the system is discussed,including the probability of unsafe events caused by the insufficient abili-ty of the trainees,the success rate of supervision,the penalty,and the supervision cost.Finally,targeted suggestions and measures are put forward from the management level in the face of the supervision of civil aviation dangerous goods transportation training.The results show that the 3 parameters of the probability of unsafe events caused by the insufficient ability of the trainees,the success rate of supervision,and the penalty have a positive effect on the behavior choice of both sides of the game,while the supervision cost has a negative effect on the behavior choice of both sides of the game.