林区规模性返贫的潜在风险与韧性治理策略OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

⑴Background——Preventing returning to poverty on a large-scale is the primary task to consolidate the a-chievements of poverty alleviation,and forest areas are one of the main battlefields to prevent returning to poverty on a large-scale.Preventing returning to poverty on a large-scale in forest areas is of great significance for promo-ting the construction of ecological civilization and regional coordinated development.At present,there are still the risk of returning to poverty on a large-scale in forest areas due to the factors such as social economy,unexpected environment and fragility of the main body.Resilient governance is a new concept of risk governance.The resili-ent governance of returning to poverty on a large-scale in forest areas can help to prevent and resolve the risk of returning to poverty on a large-scale,stimulate their endogenous driving force for development,and enhance their self-development ability. ⑵ Methods——First of all,this paper systematically clarified the potential risk factors of returning to pov-erty on a large-scale in forest areas by induction method,which provided a theoretical basis for the resilient gov-ernance of preventing returning to poverty on a large-scale.Then,this paper theoretically constructed the mecha-nism framework of the resilient governance of returning to poverty on a large-scale in forest areas.Finally,in view of the potential risk of returning to poverty on a large-scale,this paper put forward the resilient governance strate-gies of returning to poverty on a large-scale in forest areas. ⑶ Results——First,there are three kinds of potential risk factors of returning to poverty on a large-scale in forest areas:macro-economy,unexpected environment and fragility of the main body.The macro-economy mainly includes the risk of forestry industry supply chain,the problem of rural hollowing out and the trade barrier of forest products.The unexpected environment mainly includes extreme meteorological disasters,geological dis-asters,biological disasters and other natural environmental risks and sudden diseases.The vulnerability of the main body mainly includes the self-development ability and endogenous driving force of the poverty-alleviated households.Second,based on the connotation of the resilient governance of returning to poverty on a large-scale,this paper constructs a mechanism framework for the resilient governance of returning to poverty on a large-scale from three dimensions:resistance and resilience,adaptation and transformation,learning and reengineering,namely,"all-capital resilience coupling-all-factor resilience interaction-whole-process resilience cycle".Through the establishment of a resilient governance system with the organic integration of all capital,all factors and whole process,a resilient community of risk sharing and development participation is formed. ⑷ Conclusions and Discussions——Based on the above analysis,the following policy recommendations are put forward:First,build a community of resilient governance to enhance the subject resilience of the poverty-alleviated households and the governance resilience of the government.It is necessary to effectively guide the pov-erty-alleviated households to take the initiative to improve their self-development ability,their skills and re-crea-tion ability through continuous re-education.The government should establish a dynamic response mechanism for the whole process and strengthen the application of intelligent emergency management.Second,establish a long-term guarantee mechanism to enhance the resilience of industries,talents,culture,ecology and organizations.