农业环境科学学报2024,Vol.43Issue(6):1369-1376,8.DOI:10.11654/jaes.2023-1045
60多年来车尔臣河流域主要水文要素特征分析
Analysis of altered characteristics of main Che'erchen River Basin hydrological elements over the past 60 years
摘要
Abstract
To analyze how changes to main hydrological elements can provide a theoretical basis for the allocation of water resources(Calculations of agricultural water demand,calculations of reservoir regulation and storage in mountainous areas,planning and layout of water conservancy projects,optimization and utilization of water resources,etc.)in different inflow scenarios.This article used the Che'erchen River as an example and employed the M-K trend test method,wavelet analysis,and other methods to analyze changes to main hydrological elements.The coefficient of variation of Che'erchen River was 0.34,and the deviation coefficient was 1.14.Interannual variation in run-off was relatively stable.From 1957 to 2021,the run-off exhibited a significant increasing trend,with a fluctuating upward and downward trend from 1957 to 2003.After 2003,the runoff showed an increasing trend,and an abrupt change occurred in 2008.There were significant main cycles of 11 and 19 years in the run-off process,and also smaller cycles of 7 and 11 years within the main cycle;Based on the percentage deviation method,inflow in the year of high water was 6.630×108 m3,inflow in the year of low water was 5.319×108 m3,and inflow in the year of low water was 4.820×108 m3;Precipitation in the watershed exhibited a significant upward trend,while the temperature fluctuated downward and upward,it generally demonstrated an upward trend.From 1957 to 2021,the interannual variation of runoff was relatively stable and exhibited a significant increasing trend overall,with a significant main cycle of 11 and 19 years in the process.The precipitation data had a fluctuating upward trend,and the temperature also showed an increasing trend.In future water resource allocation planning,the above characteristics should be given special attention.关键词
水文要素/Mann-Kendall方法/小波分析/趋势检验/车尔臣河Key words
hydrological elements/M-K method/wavelet analysis/trend testing/Che'erchen River分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
刘锋,范文晓,魏光辉..60多年来车尔臣河流域主要水文要素特征分析[J].农业环境科学学报,2024,43(6):1369-1376,8.基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金面上项目(2021D01A101) (2021D01A101)
新疆维吾尔自治区高校科研计划项目(XJEDU2023J017) (XJEDU2023J017)
国家自然科学基金项目(U2003204) (U2003204)
国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3206804) Natural Science Foundation of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region(2021D01A101) (2023YFC3206804)
University Science and Technology Plan of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region(XJEDU2023J017) (XJEDU2023J017)
National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2003204) (U2003204)
National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFC3206804) (2023YFC3206804)