考虑不同救援能力的应急救援人员派遣演化博弈OA北大核心CSTPCD

To address the issue of imbalance between the supply and demand of rescue personnel at the early stage of emergencies,we construct an evolutionary game model for dispatching emergency rescue personnel.The approach integrates considerations of road damage to rescue networks by emergencies and secondary disasters,as well as the competitive psychology of disaster-stricken populations with bounded rationality towards rescue personnel dispatch.From the perspective of disaster victims,we analyze the game dynamics of dispatching rescuers across multiple disaster sites.Utilizing replicator dynamic equations,we simulate the dynamic evolution of strategies for rescue personnel dispatch at each disaster site,thereby constructing a multi-stage model for dispatching rescue personnel across multiple rescue and disaster sites.Case studies illustrate the dynamic evolution and optimal dispatching schemes for each disaster site.Results demonstrate the practicality and feasibility of solving rescue dispatch plans by comprehensively considering the multi-stage dynamic characteristics of emergency rescue processes and the bounded rational game theory among affected points.Additionally,sensitivity analysis of parameters provides dispatch plans suitable for three different rescue scenarios.The research provides a reference basis for decision-making in emergency rescue personnel dispatch.