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考虑不同救援能力的应急救援人员派遣演化博弈

孙文军 朱昌锋 李辉

深圳大学学报(理工版)2024,Vol.41Issue(4):406-414,9.
深圳大学学报(理工版)2024,Vol.41Issue(4):406-414,9.DOI:10.3724/SP.J.1249.2024.04406

考虑不同救援能力的应急救援人员派遣演化博弈

An evolutionary game of emergency rescuer dispatch considering different rescue capabilities

孙文军 1朱昌锋 2李辉3

作者信息

  • 1. 兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州 730070||日照职业技术学院商学系,山东日照 276826
  • 2. 兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州 730070
  • 3. 聊城大学商学院,山东聊城 252000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To address the issue of imbalance between the supply and demand of rescue personnel at the early stage of emergencies,we construct an evolutionary game model for dispatching emergency rescue personnel.The approach integrates considerations of road damage to rescue networks by emergencies and secondary disasters,as well as the competitive psychology of disaster-stricken populations with bounded rationality towards rescue personnel dispatch.From the perspective of disaster victims,we analyze the game dynamics of dispatching rescuers across multiple disaster sites.Utilizing replicator dynamic equations,we simulate the dynamic evolution of strategies for rescue personnel dispatch at each disaster site,thereby constructing a multi-stage model for dispatching rescue personnel across multiple rescue and disaster sites.Case studies illustrate the dynamic evolution and optimal dispatching schemes for each disaster site.Results demonstrate the practicality and feasibility of solving rescue dispatch plans by comprehensively considering the multi-stage dynamic characteristics of emergency rescue processes and the bounded rational game theory among affected points.Additionally,sensitivity analysis of parameters provides dispatch plans suitable for three different rescue scenarios.The research provides a reference basis for decision-making in emergency rescue personnel dispatch.

关键词

物流工程/应急物流/救援人员派遣/有限理性/前景理论/演化博弈

Key words

logistics engineering/emergency logistics/rescue personnel dispatch/bounded rationality/prospect theory/evolutionary game

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

孙文军,朱昌锋,李辉..考虑不同救援能力的应急救援人员派遣演化博弈[J].深圳大学学报(理工版),2024,41(4):406-414,9.

基金项目

National Natural Science Foundation of China(72161024) (72161024)

"Double First-class"Scientific Research Key Project of Gansu Provincial Department of Education(GSSYLXM-04) 国家自然科学基金资助项目(72161024) (GSSYLXM-04)

甘肃省教育厅"双一流"科研重点资助项目(GSSYLXM-04) (GSSYLXM-04)

深圳大学学报(理工版)

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-2618

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