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乳酸脱氢酶联合乳酸对重症新型冠状病毒感染患者28 d的死亡风险预测OA

Prediction of mortality risk in patients with severe novel coronavirus pneumonla after 28 d by lactate dehydrogenase combined with lactate

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 分析重症新型冠状病毒感染患者28 d死亡风险因素.方法 回顾性分析2022年12月至2023年4月海南医学院附属海南医院收治的136例重症新型冠状病毒感染患者的临床病历资料,根据患者28 d内是否死亡分为存活组(45例)和死亡组(91例).采用多因素logistic回归分析确定重症新型冠状病毒感染患者死亡风险因素,并利用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评估各指标对患者28 d内死亡风险的预测价值.结果 与存活组比较,死亡组患者的核酸未转阴、合并呼吸系统疾病、恶性肿瘤、肾功能不全比例较高,入院24 h检查D-二聚体、谷丙转氨酶、天冬氨酸转氨酶、肌酐、尿素氮/肌酐值、二氧化碳分压、肌钙蛋白、B型脑钠肽前体、肌酸激酶同工酶、乳酸脱氢酶、乳酸呈高水平,治疗过程中机械通气(无创及有创)持续时间短、抗病毒药物覆盖率低,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05).因存活组住院时间长,期间多次完善病原学检查显示,病毒合并细菌感染、病毒合并真菌感染、病毒合并细菌合并真菌三重感染、多重耐药菌与死亡组比较,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05).二元logistic回归分析结果显示,入院时新型冠状病毒核酸未转阴、合并呼吸系统疾病、机械通气(无创及有创)持续时间短,乳酸脱氢酶、乳酸高水平是重症新型冠状病毒感染患者28 d死亡的独立危险因素(P<0.05).通过ROC曲线,可以得出乳酸脱氢酶对预测重症新型冠状病毒感染患者28 d死亡风险的准确度优于乳酸,而乳酸脱氢酶、乳酸联合预测对重症新型冠状病毒感染患者28 d死亡风险的效果优于两者单独的预测价值.结论 核酸未转阴、合并呼吸系统疾病、恶性肿瘤、肾功能不全,入院24 h检查D-二聚体、谷丙转氨酶、谷草转氨酶、肌酐、尿素氮/肌酐值、二氧化碳分压、肌钙蛋白、B型脑钠肽前体、肌酸激酶同工酶,乳酸脱氢酶、乳酸高水平是重症新型冠状病毒感染患者死亡的高危因素,其中高水平乳酸脱氢酶联合乳酸对患者28 d的死亡风险具有较高的预测价值.

Objective To analyze the risk factors of 28 d death in patients with severe novel coronavirus pneumonla infection.Methods The clinical medical records of 136 patients with severe novel coronavirus pneumonia infection in Hainan Hospital Affiliated to Hainan Medical College from December 2022 to April 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the patients died within 28 d,they were divided into the survival group(45 cases)and the death group(91 cases).Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors of death in patients with severe novel coronavirus pneumonla infection,and the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of each indicator on the risk of death within 28 d.Results Compared with the survival group,the proportion of the non-negative nucleic acid,com-bined with respiratory diseases,malignant tumors,and renal insufficiency of the patients in the death group were more higher.The D-dimer,alanine aminotransferase,glutamic oxalacetic aminotransferase,creatinine,u-rea nitrogen/creatinine ratio,partial pressure of carbon dioxide,troponin,B-type brain natriuretic peptide pre-cursor,creatine kinase isoenzyme,lactate dehydrogenase(LDH)and lactic acid were found to be higher than those in the death group 24 h after admission.The duration of mechanical ventilation(non-invasive and inva-sive)during treatment in the death group was shorter,the coverage of antiviral drugs was cower,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).Due to the long hospital stay of the survival group,the im-proved etiological examination showed that there were significant differences between the virus combined with bacterial infection,virus combined with fungal infection,virus combined with bacterial combined with fungal triple infection,and multi-drug resistant bacteria compared with the death group(P<0.05).Binary logistic re-gression analysis showed that novel coronavirus's nucleic acid did not turn negative at admission,combined with respiratory disease,short duration of mechanical ventilation(non-invasive and invasive),and high LDH and high lactate were independent risk factors for 28 d death in patients with severe novel coronavirus pneu-monla infection(P<0.05).According to the ROC curve,it could be concluded that the accuracy of LDH in predicting the 28 d death risk of severe novel coronavirus pneumonla infection patients was better than that of lactate,while the combined prediction effect of LDH and lactate in predicting the 28 d death risk of severe no-vel coronavirus pneumonla infection patients was better than the two prediction values alone.Conclusion Non-negative nucleic acid,combined with respiratory diseases,malignant tumors,renal insufficiency,and the level of D-dimer,alanine aminotransferase,glutamic oxalacetic aminotransferase,creatinine,urea nitrogen/cre-atinine,partial pressure of carbon dioxide,troponin,B-type brain natriuretic peptide precursor,creatine kinase isoenzyme,high LDH,and high lactic acid examined within 24 h after admission are high risk factors for death in severe novel coronavirus pneumonla infection patients.Hight LDH combined with high lactate has a high predictive value for the 28 d mortality risk of patients.

肖欣;魏佳莉

海南医学院附属海南医院肾内科,海南海口 570100

临床医学

重症新型冠状病毒感染乳酸脱氢酶乳酸联合检测预后死亡风险

Severe novel coronavirus pneumoniaLactate dehydrogenaseLactic acidCombine determinePrognosisMortality risk

《现代医药卫生》 2024 (013)

2185-2191 / 7

10.3969/j.issn.1009-5519.2024.13.006

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