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梯级水库运行期设计洪水及水位联合优化调控变革与启示OA

Changes and implications of joint optimal regulation of design floods and water levels during the operational period of cascade reservoirs

中文摘要英文摘要

我国水资源时空分布不均,年际、年内变差大,洪涝和干旱并存,流域防洪与兴利需求并重.随着大规模水库群建成投运,流域下垫面条件及产汇流机制明显变异,水库及引调水工程运行等人类活动对设计洪水影响显著,梯级水库群运行管理中如何分析和应用设计洪水成为亟待解决的新问题,水库群联合优化调控、水资源高效利用的现实要求十分迫切,已列入中国科学技术协会2023年十大产业技术问题.经过多年探索实践,我国在梯级水库运行期设计洪水及水位联合优化调控方面已取得一定研究进展和成果,但仍存在对暴雨洪水季节性变化规律认识不足、梯级水库群系统中各水库运行相互影响考虑不足、现代水文气象实时预报信息运用不足等问题,亟须系统开展运行期设计洪水及水位联合优化调控体系研究,实现风险可控条件下水资源高效利用,保障防洪安全、供水安全、能源安全、生态安全,推进新阶段经济社会高质量发展.

The spatial and temporal distribution of water resources in China is uneven,with large inter-annual and intra-annual variations,floods and droughts co-existing,and the demand for flood control and profit-making in the river basin is equally important.With the large-scale reservoir group built and put into operation,the basin subsurface conditions and production and sinking mechanism variation,reservoirs and water diversion project operation and other human activities has impact on design flood.How to analyze and apply design flood in the operation and management of cascade reservoirs has become a new problem.The realistic requirements of joint optimal control of reservoir group and efficient use of water resources are urgent,have been included in the ten industrial technical issues of CAST in 2023.After years of exploration and practice,China has made research progress and achievements in the design flood and water level joint optimization and control,but there are still insufficient scientific understanding of the seasonal change law of heavy rainfall floods,insufficient consideration of the interactions among reservoirs in the system of cascade reservoirs,insufficient use of real-time forecasting information of modern hydrometeorology,etc.,It is urgent to carry out research on the joint optimal control system of designed flood and water level during operation,to realize efficient utilization of sewage resources under controllable risk conditions,ensure flood control security,water supply security,energy security,and ecological security,and promote high-quality economic and social development in the new stage.

徐长江;熊丰;戴明龙;李妍清;熊明

水利部长江水利委员会水文局,430010,武汉

水利科学

梯级水库运行期设计洪水汛期运行水位联合优化调控

cascade reservoirsdesign flood in operation periodoperational water level in flood seasonjoint optimal control

《中国水利》 2024 (012)

13-17 / 5

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3202801);湖北省自然科学基金联合基金项目(2024AFD354).

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