湖南大学学报(社会科学版)2024,Vol.38Issue(4):53-62,10.DOI:10.16339/j.cnki.hdxbskb.2024.04.007
"一带一路"国家能源投资的风险识别与传导
Energy Investment Risk Identification and Transmission in the Belt and Road Initiative:
摘要
Abstract
This paper constructs an energy investment risk index system and risk identification model based on Complex Network Theory and empirically analyzes the risk evolution characteristics,trends and spatio-temporal transmission path of the overseas investment in China's energy industry through the data of 103 countries from 2010 to 2019.Key findings include:(1)Indicators such as control of corruption,government effectiveness,regulatory quality,rule of law,political stability and absence of violence/terror-ism are the key risk points of China's energy industry overseas investments;(2)The transmissibility of China's energy OFDI continues to increase over the past ten years.Examining individual country invest-ment risks reveals Indonesia,Turkey and Brazil showcase internally complex investment risk environ-ments.(3)Based on the minimum spanning tree,investment risks in Europe and Central Asia,Middle East and North Africa and sub-Saharan Africa have shorter transmission paths,increasingly close links and accelerated risk accumulation.关键词
一带一路/复杂网络/能源投资/风险识别/风险传导Key words
Belt and Road Initiative/complex network/energy investment/risk identification/risk transmission分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘倩,王莹莹.."一带一路"国家能源投资的风险识别与传导[J].湖南大学学报(社会科学版),2024,38(4):53-62,10.基金项目
教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目:共建"一带一路"国家投资风险识别与传导机制研究(23YJCZH134) (23YJCZH134)
广东省哲学社会科学规划项目:中国海外投资风险管理——基于复杂网络的视角(GD24CYJ02) (GD24CYJ02)