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新质生产力背景下中国新型基础设施的测度与分析OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

Measurement and Analysis of China's New Infrastructure in the Context of New Quality Productive Forces

中文摘要英文摘要

本文基于信息基础设施、融合基础设施及创新基础设施共 3 个子系统 29 个具体指标,采用熵权法核算中国新型基础设施指数,并根据达格姆基尼系数、重心法以及马尔可夫链方法刻画新型基础设施及组成部分的时空分布特征及演进趋势.研究结果显示,中国新型基础设施指数整体呈上升趋势,逐渐形成以东部沿海地区及四川为密集区的双核心结构,总体空间差异的最主要来源是区域间差异,区域内差异次之,超变密度差异最小.重心以向西南方向迁移为主,发展水平存在路径依赖,但随着跨期延长,低水平省份在跨期 3 年后呈跨越式迁移.本文的研究为掌握中国新型基础设施发展水平,缩小区域发展差异提供了政策参考.

New infrastructure is a crucial tool for fostering new quality productive forces and high-quality economic development.In the context of transitioning from traditional productive forces to new quality ones,it is of great significance to scientifically construct an evaluation system for the development level of new infrastructure,measure the actual level in each region,and identify their strengths and weaknesses,in order to foster the emergence of new quality productive forces and enable high-quality economic development. Based on 29 specific indicators in three subsystems,namely information infrastructure,integration infrastructure,and innovation infrastructure,this paper adopts the entropy weight method to calculate the index of China's new infrastructure.Then,it portrays the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the new infrastructure and its components,as well as their evolution trends based on the Dagum Gini coefficient,the center of gravity method,and the Markov chain method.The findings reveal that the index of China's new infrastructure exhibits an overall upward trend,gradually forming a double-core structure with the eastern coastal regions and Sichuan as the dense areas.Inter-regional differences are identified as the primary source of overall spatial differences,followed by intra-regional and hyper-variable density differences.The center of gravity mainly shifts towards the southwest,showing path dependence in terms of the development level.However,with the prolongation of the intervals,provincial-level regions with low levels undergo a leapfrog shift after three years of the interval.The findings provide valuable insights into the promotion of the construction of new infrastructure and the development of new quality productive forces. This paper makes the following marginal contributions.First,in terms of indicator construction,it optimizes the new infrastructure indicator system on the basis of the original results,which makes the constructed indicator system able to provide a comprehensive and scientific assessment of the level of new infrastructure in each region.Second,in terms of research content,it enriches the examination of new infrastructure,especially the portrayal of the evolution of differences and the dynamics of its distribution,which helps to accurately understand the characteristics of the spatial differences in the development of new infrastructure in China.Third,in terms of application value,it puts forward policy recommendations based on the results of an all-round and multi-faceted examination of the level of new infrastructure construction in 31 provincial-level regions in China,which holds great significance for promoting the construction of new infrastructure and the coordinated development of regions.

张自然;马原;杨玉玲

中国社会科学院经济研究所,北京,100836中国社会科学院大学经济学院,北京,102488浙江省发展规划研究院,杭州,310030

经济学

新质生产力新型基础设施信息基础设施融合基础设施创新基础设施

new quality productive forcesnew infrastructureinformation infrastructureintegration infrastructureinnovation infrastructure

《经济与管理研究》 2024 (008)

17-39 / 23

国家社会科学基金重大项目"基于中国实践的经济增长理论创新研究"(22&ZD053)

10.13502/j.cnki.issn1000-7636.2024.08.002

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