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中国天然气发电发展形势分析及展望OACHSSCDCSTPCD

Analysis and prospect of the development situation of natural gas power generation in China

中文摘要英文摘要

中国天然气发电装机规模持续增长,气电与天然气供应形成协同联动发展态势.截至2023年底,中国气电装机规模达到1.26亿千瓦.新能源发电的持续快速增长、煤电定位由常规主力电源转向基础保障性和系统调节性电源、其他调峰电源在国家政策的支持下高速发展,给气电带来机遇与挑战.预计未来气电将以调峰为主,电力需求提升与新能源发电装机规模的大幅增长带来调峰需求的增加,将为气电带来较大的发展空间.部分省市推行两部制电价与气电价格联动机制,中国电力市场改革持续推进;煤电容量电价机制建立将推动容量市场建设,有助于气电行业的长期发展.建议国家进一步明确气电产业支持政策,加大对气电核心技术研发的攻关力度;完善气电定价机制,根据不同燃气机组的运行特点和不同地区的发展水平差异化定价;进一步完善电力市场机制,放开市场价格限制,拉大峰谷价差,以体现气电的调峰价值.

China's installed capacity for gas power generation continues to grow,and the supply of natural gas and electricity has formed a coordinated development trend.By the end of 2023,China's installed capacity for gas power generation reached 126 million kilowatts.The continuous and rapid growth of new energy power generation,the shift of coal power positioning from conventional main power source to basic safety and system regulation power source,and the rapid development of other peaking power sources under the support of national policies have brought opportunities and challenges to gas power.It is expected that future gas power will be based on peak regulation and the increase in electricity demand and the substantial growth of the installed scale of new energy will bring about an increase in peak regulation demand,which will bring greater room for development for gas power.Some provinces and cities have implemented the two-part tariff and gas power price linkage mechanism and China's power market reform continues to advance.The establishment of the coal power capacity tariff mechanism will promote the construction of the capacity market,which will help the long-term development of the gas power industry.It is recommended that China further clarifies the policy of supporting the gas power industry,increases the research and development of the core technology of gas power field,improves the gas power pricing mechanism and takes the differentiated pricing according to the operating characteristics of different gas units and development levels at the different regions,further improves the power market mechanism,liberalizes market price restrictions,and widen the peak-valley price differential to reflect the peak load value of gas and electricity.

赵赫;隋朝霞

中海石油气电集团有限责任公司

新型电力系统天然气发电调峰电价机制

new power systemnatural gas power generationpeak regulationelectricity price mechanism

《国际石油经济》 2024 (007)

90-98 / 9

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