中国工程科学2024，Vol.26Issue(4)：28-39,12.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2024.04.016
绿色低碳转型背景下能源安全评估体系重构与启示
Reconstruction and Implications of Energy Security Assessment System in the Context of Green and Low-Carbon Transition
摘要
Abstract
Energy security is a critical component of national security and a prerequisite for the green and low-carbon transition of the energy system.The concept of energy security has broadened from a traditional focus on fossil fuel supply to include the stable supply and sustainable utilization of energy resources.This study constructs a new energy security assessment framework targeting green and low-carbon transition,analyzing the evolution of energy security in 18 countries worldwide.The findings are as follows:(1)Within a diversified evaluation system aligned with green and low-carbon objectives,energy security has significantly improved in countries with limited oil and gas resources,such as the United Kingdom,Japan,and China.Conversely,the dominant position of countries like the United Arab Emirates and Russia in the international energy market has been reduced.Continued development in renewable energy will reinforce this trend.(2)A strong positive correlation exists between energy security and sustainable development levels in the context of a green and low-carbon transition.Countries with higher sustainability levels have greater advantages in the energy transition process.(3)Sensitivity analysis reveals that although fossil fuel supply remains a key factor in energy security,the importance of diversified supply and sustainable utilization has significantly increased.Therefore,it is recommended that China seize the transition opportunity by leveraging China's resource advantages in renewable energy,enhancing the energy governance system,and focusing on sustainable development.These actions will improve energy security and support China in increasing its influence and proactivity in the international energy market.关键词
能源安全/绿色低碳/能源转型/可再生能源/可持续发展/能源格局演变Key words
energy security/green and low-carbon/energy transition/renewable energy/sustainable development/evolution of energy patterns分类
环境科学引用本文复制引用
章姝,马堉博,郑馨竺,朱潜挺,唐旭..绿色低碳转型背景下能源安全评估体系重构与启示[J].中国工程科学,2024,26(4):28-39,12.基金项目
中国工程院咨询项目"中国式现代化目标下的能源转型战略研究"(2023-XBZD-05) （2023-XBZD-05）
中国科协青年人才托举工程(YESS20230197) （YESS20230197）
北京市科协青年人才托举工程(BYESS2023461) Chinese Academy of Engineering project"Strategic Research on Energy Transition under the Goal of Chinese-Style Modernization"(2023-XBZD-05) （BYESS2023461）
Young Elite Scientist Sponsorship Program by CAST(YESS20230197) （YESS20230197）
Young Elite Scientist Sponsorship Program by BAST(BYESS2023461) （BYESS2023461）
