中国人口·资源与环境2024，Vol.34Issue(6)：21-32,12.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20240312
长三角地区减污降碳协同效应评估
Synergistic effects of reducing pollution and carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Delta
摘要
Abstract
The Yangtze River Delta is advancing efforts to synergize the reduction of pollution and carbon emissions,yet there is scarce literature quantitatively assessing its potential for such synergy.This study utilized the Data Envelopment Analysis method to cal-culate the marginal abatement costs of PM2.5 and CO2 from a total factor perspective for the Yangtze River Delta.By comparing the cost changes between independent reduction and synergistic reduction,the potential for pollution and carbon reduction synergy was estimat-ed at the regional,provincial,and municipal levels.The study also simulated the changes in synergistic effects under different develop-ment scenarios.The findings were as follows:① From 2011 to 2021,compared to independent reduction,the marginal costs for both pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction in the Yangtze River Delta significantly decreased in the synergistic reduction sce-nario,with marginal abatement costs of pollution reduction reduced by 35.28%and those of carbon emission reduction by 32.41%.② At the provincial level,there was a clear heterogeneity among the marginal abatement costs of the three provinces and one municipal-ity in the Yangtze River Delta,with Anhui having the lowest costs for both pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction,while Shanghai had relatively higher costs.③ Compared to independent reduction,Anhui Province exhibited the most significant reduction in marginal abatement costs under synergistic reduction,highlighting its outstanding potential for synergizing the reduction of pollution and carbon emissions.④ At the municipal level,prioritizing low-carbon development was the governance approach minimizing pollu-tion reduction costs;prioritizing clean air was the strategy minimizing carbon emission reduction costs;and aiming for the maximization of synergistic effects required different cities to explore synergistic strategies for reducing pollution and carbon emissions matching their own stages of economic development,resource endowments,and environmental levels.This study,by estimating the marginal abatement costs of pollution reduction and carbon emission reduction in the Yangtze River Delta,reveals the temporal patterns and spatial charac-teristics of the region's potential for synergizing the reduction of pollution and carbon emissions and provides valuable insights for scien-tifically advancing such efforts in the Yangtze River Delta.关键词
减污降碳/协同效应/边际减排成本/长三角地区Key words
reduction of pollution and carbon emissions/synergy effects/marginal abatement costs/Yangtze River Delta分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
崔连标,李晓,段宏波..长三角地区减污降碳协同效应评估[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2024,34(6):21-32,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目"不确定性视角下中国减污降碳协同增效的复杂系统建模及政策优化研究"(批准号:72374001),"不确定条件下中国温室气体与大气污染物的协同控制研究"(批准号:71974001) （批准号:72374001）
国家自然科学基金专项项目"面向碳中和的典型区域与重点行业CCS技术选择与路径优化"(批准号:72243011) （批准号:72243011）
安徽省高校杰出青年科研项目"面向减污降碳协同增效的复杂系统建模及应用研究"(批准号:2022AH020048) （批准号:2022AH020048）
安徽省哲学社会科学规划课题重大项目"安徽'双碳'战略的实践路径研究"(批准号:AHSKZD2022D01) （批准号:AHSKZD2022D01）
安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题重大项目"安徽扎实推进'双碳'战略实践研究"(批准号:2022ZD006) （批准号:2022ZD006）
安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金项目"美国对华构筑芯片禁运联盟的经济影响研究"(批准号:ACYC2022490). （批准号:ACYC2022490）
