中国人口·资源与环境2024，Vol.34Issue(6)：33-44,12.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20231228
个体激励型自愿减排机制能否提升地区碳排放绩效?
Can individual incentive-based voluntary emission reduction mechanisms improve regional carbon emission performance?
摘要
Abstract
As a voluntary individual carbon trading mechanism,the carbon generalized system of preferences(CGSP)aims to promote individuals'active practice of low-carbon behaviors through the incentive model of'who reduces emissions,who benefits from the prac-tice.'It is an extension and expansion of the carbon emission trading mechanism to the individual level,and it is of great significance to evaluate the carbon emission performance of this policy to tap the emission reduction potential of individual society and enrich the envi-ronmental policy tool system.Based on the quasi-natural experiment of the implementation of the CGSP in Guangdong Province in 2015,this paper empirically evaluated the policy effect of the CGSP in improving regional carbon emission performance by using the synthetic control method and provincial panel data from 2005 to 2021 and further explored the mechanism of the policy effect.The re-sults showed that the implementation of the CGSP was conducive to improving regional carbon emission performance and promoting the reduction of regional total carbon emissions,per capita carbon emissions,and carbon emission intensity.In the seven years from 2015 to 2021,the policy intervention reduced the total carbon emissions of Guangdong Province by an average of 40.94 million tons,per capi-ta carbon emissions by 0.294 tons,and carbon emission intensity by 0.312 tons/10 000 yuan.This conclusion was still valid after the placebo test,ranking test,and test excluding other policy interferences.Further intermediary tests showed that the CGSP acted on re-gional carbon emissions through two intermediary pathways:promoting public green travel and reducing electricity consumption.But the mediating path with energy consumption as the mediating variable did not hold.The study reveals the effectiveness of both incentiv-ized and voluntary individual carbon trading mechanisms in environmental governance and makes the following policy recommenda-tions:① We should pay attention to the emission reduction potential of social individuals on the consumer side,gradually incorporate individual carbon trading mechanisms into carbon emission reduction governance,and encourage local governments to apply and devel-op the CGSP according to local conditions.② In the design of CGSP,it is necessary to improve the incentive mechanism in low-carbon travel scenarios and low-carbon life scenarios and improve the convenience of public participation in emission reduction.③ It is neces-sary to develop a more scientific carbon-inclusive quantitative verification methodology and build a comprehensive carbon trading sys-tem covering the public and industrial enterprises.关键词
个人碳交易/碳普惠/碳排放绩效/合成控制法Key words
personal carbon trading/carbon generalized system of preferences(CGSP)/carbon emission performance/synthetic con-trol method分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘迪一,刘俊腾,张国兴,杜慧滨,陈张蕾..个体激励型自愿减排机制能否提升地区碳排放绩效?[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2024,34(6):33-44,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金重点项目"多能互补的协同运行体系及其宏观效应研究"(批准号:72034003),"可再生能源发展的驱动机理及路径选择:行为、市场与政策"(批准号:71834004) （批准号:72034003）
国家自然科学基金面上项目"京津冀及周边地区大气污染防治政策体系的演进特征、规制效应及协同机制研究"(批准号:71874074) （批准号:71874074）
国家自然科学基金青年项目"社会学习视角下农村分布式能源利用行为演进机制及其助推策略研究"(批准号:72304154). （批准号:72304154）
