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高等职业教育与新质生产力的耦合协调效应研究OA北大核心

Study on the Coupling and Coordination Effect of Higher Vocational Education and New Quality Productive Forces

中文摘要英文摘要

高等职业教育与新质生产力构成双向驱动的耦合关系.基于2010-2022年31个省份的面板数据,探究我国高等职业教育与新质生产力的耦合协调效应,发现:高等职业教育与新质生产力的耦合协调度与等级均有显著提升,从2010年的0.372(轻度失调)提升到2022年的0.542(勉强协调);三大地区的耦合协调度呈现出绝对值"东部>中部>西部",年增长率"西部>东部>中部"的分布格局,"东部引领""西部崛起"与"中部塌陷"并存;耦合协调度的省际差异主要由地区间差异引起,总体有所缩小,但以2018年为拐点开始反弹;耦合协调度呈全局空间正相关,邻近省份的发展水平相对一致,局部自相关以高—高集聚为主.据此,应树立系统思维,助力高职教育与新质生产力双向驱动,实现两系统的和谐互促;统筹空间布局,精准规划不同地区与省份的发展战略,实现跨区域的协同共赢;把握时代机遇,推动教育、科技、人才的一体化发展,实现多链路的同频共振.

Higher vocational education forms a bidirectional driving coupling relationship with new quality productive forces.This paper examines the coordination effect between higher vocational education and new quality productive forces in China by using panel data of 31 provinces from 2010 to 2022.The study found that the coordination degree and level of higher vocational education and new quality productive forces have significantly improved from 0.372(slight imbalance)in 2010 to 0.542(barely harmonious)in 2022.The coupling coordination degree of the three regions showed a distribution pattern of absolute value"East>Central>West"and annual growth rate"West>East>Central",featured with"East leading""West rising"and"Central collapse".The difference in coupling coordination degree between provinces is mainly due to regional differences,which have been somewhat reduced in general,but began to rebound with 2018 as the inflection point.The coupling coordination degree exhibited the characteristic of global spatial positive correlation,with neighboring provinces developing at a relatively consistent level,and the local autocorrelation features are mainly high-high agglomeration.Therefore,we should focus on achieving the harmonious mutual promotion of the two systems by setting up systematic thinking to help higher vocational education and new quality productive forces drive both ways.We need to accurately plan the development strategies of different regions and provinces to achieve cross-regional cooperation and win-win.We should also capture the opportunities of the times,promote the integrated development of education,science,technology and talents,and achieve synchronous resonance of multi-links.

范栖银;谢昊伦;姜孟升

华东师范大学职业教育与成人教育研究所(上海,200062)华东师范大学教育管理学系华东师范大学

教育学

高等职业教育新质生产力耦合协调面板数据空间分异

higher vocational educationnew quality productive forcescoupling coordinationpanel dataspatial differentiation

《职业技术教育》 2024 (024)

8-18 / 11

2021年度国家社会科学基金后期资助教育学一般项目"新时代职业教育改革研究"(21FJKB012),主持人:石伟平;2023年度国家社会科学基金教育学一般项目"基于区域产业人才需求的职业教育供给调节机理分析与制度建构"(BJA230027),主持人:付雪凌

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