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三次台风登陆后雨带列车效应特征对比OA北大核心CSTPCD

Comparison of the Train Effect Characteristics of Rainbands After the Landfall of Three Typhoons

中文摘要英文摘要

为探讨台风雨带列车效应导致极端降水的可能形成方式和流型配置,利用多源观测资料,对2015年第13号台风苏迪罗(过程1)、2013年第23号台风菲特(过程2)和2005年第9号台风麦莎(过程3)登陆减弱后的对流雨带列车效应现象进行对比分析.结果表明:三次过程大暴雨区都发生在浙江东部丘陵东侧迎风坡,且具有雨带走向与环境背景气流基本一致及水汽通量辐合集中在850 hPa以下的共性,但其环境背景明显不同.过程1和过程2均由台风外围对流雨带引起,其中过程1雨带位于台风低压与副热带高压之间,垂直风切变和对流有效位能较大,水汽来自低纬度海面且湿层深厚;过程2发生在陆上台风残涡与海上另一个台风之间的鞍型场内,垂直风切变和对流有效位能较小,水汽来自同纬度海面,湿层仅位于对流层中下部.过程3由台风内核区雨带引起,垂直风切变强,对流有效位能最小.进一步分析发现在不同环境垂直风廓线和湿度廓线下三次过程雨带的结构和组织方式呈现出明显差异.在过程1中,对流发展较高,冷池与偏东气流间形成较深厚边界层辐合,所构成边界的两侧斜压结构促进来自海面暖湿空气在力管项作用下在边界暖湿一侧抬升,雨带两侧正负散度配置加强了对流的组织化程度,使对流单体长时间沿雨带长轴移动;在过程2中,偏东气流与弱冷池之间风向相反,风速相当,辐合较浅薄,暖云降水起主要作用,新单体不断在雨带东边界生成、西边界消亡,雨带停滞少动引发持续强降水;在过程3中,内核区雨带较大程度受台风涡旋动力学影响,对流发展高度低,为典型的热带海洋降水型,结构随高度略向外侧倾斜,对流单体在台风本体东侧低空东南风急流脉动产生的风速辐合作用下反复被激发并向下游移动,引发极端强降水.以上事实说明,导致极端降水的台风雨带列车效应形成方式多样,其短时临近预报面临重大挑战.

In order to explore the possible formation mechanism and flow pattern of extreme precipitation caused by the train effect of typhoon rainbands,we comparatively analyze the circulation situation and the convection organization of three heavy rainfall processes related to train effect after the landfall of the Ty-phoon Soudelor(No.1513,process 1),the Typhoon Fitow(No.1323,process 2)and the Typhoon Matsa(No.0509,process 3)by using multi-source observation data and the ERA5 reanalysis data.The results show that the extreme precipitation of the three processes all occurred on the windward slope of the hills in the eastern part of Zhejiang Province.The directions of the rainbands were consistent with the background air flows,and convergence of water vapor flux was mainly concentrated below 850 hPa.However,the am-bient backgrounds of the three processes are different obviously.In process 1,the rainband happend be-tween the low pressure and the subtropical high,the vertical wind shear and the CAPE were large,the water vapor came from tropical ocean surface,and the wet layer was thick.Process 2 took place in a sad-dle-shaped field between the residual vortex of a typhoon over land and another typhoon over the sea.The vertical wind shear and CAPE were weak,water vapor was from the sea surface at the same latitude,and the wet layer was located in the middle and lower level of the troposphere.Process 3 was caused by the spiral rainband in the core zone of typhoon.The vertical wind shear was strong and the CAPE was the minimum.Moreover,the structure and organization of the rainbands in the three process are obviously dif-ferent.In process 1,the boundary layer convergence and the convective system highly developed,the ba-roclinic structure of the mesoscale convergence line promoted the uplift of warm and humid air from the sea surface,and the convergence field strengthenned the degree of organization.In process 2,the wind direc-tion of the weak cold pool was opposited to the easterly airflow,while with similar wind speed and shallow convergence.The warm cloud rain was dominant.The new cells continued to form at the eastern boundary of the rainbands,and dissipated at the western boundary.The stagnation of rainband caused continuous belt-like heavy rainfall area.In process 3,the spiral bands in the inner-core section of typhoon were affect-ed by the typhoon vortex dynamics,the convection developed at lower height,and the structure tilted slightly to the outside.The rainband developed with the wind speed convergence caused by the fluctuating of southeast jet,which resulted in extreme rainfall.The above facts show that the train effect of typhoon rainbands causing extreme precipitation can be formed in various ways,so there are great challenges faced in the short-time forecasting and nowcasting of such extreme precipitation.

翁之梅;李渊;范敏霜;高丽;冯也骋;王凯;倪钟萍;黄晓龙

浙江省台州市气象局,台州 318000复旦大学大气科学与海洋科学系/大气科学研究院,上海 200438

大气科学

台风列车效应中尺度辐合冷池

typhoontrain effectmesoscale convergencecold pool

《气象》 2024 (008)

997-1011 / 15

浙江省台州市科技局社会发展项目(1901gy17)资助

10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2024.030501

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