地方人口变化对区域职业教育发展的影响及对策研究OA北大核心
The Impact of Local Population Changes on Regional Vocational Education Development and the Countermeasures
教育为一定的人口服务,在全国面临"负增长、低生育、老龄化、高流动"的人口发展新形势下,为应对人口变化对吉林省职业教育发展的挑战,基于吉林省人口规模结构现状对2025-2050年职业教育学龄人口进行预测,对吉林省职业教育的学校、学生、师资配备及区域分布情况等进行系统梳理,结果显示:吉林省总人口呈现逐步减少趋势;老龄化人口比例逐步升高,逐步进入深度老龄化阶段;人口低生育化,出生人口持续减少;城镇化率缓慢,农村人口减少;人口向中心城市集聚;人口受教育程度不断提升.吉林省职业教育资源呈现中等职业教育发展持续下降、高等职业教育发展快速增长、成人教育发展不足等趋势.在人口发展新形势下,吉林省职业教育发展面临生源危机、资源配置、城乡均衡发展、继续教育供需失衡等挑战.基于此,吉林省职业教育实现高质量发展,要建立动态监测机制、优化教育资源配置、深化教育教学改革、加快发展继续教育.
Education serves a certain population,and in the new population development situation of negative growth,low fertility,aging,and high mobility nationwide,to cope with the challenges of population changes to Jilin Province's vocational education development,this study predicts the vocational education age population for 2025-2050 based on the current population size and structure in Jilin Province;systematically sorts out the educational resources of vocational education in Jilin Province,including schools,students,faculty and regional distribution.The results show that the total population of Jilin Province is gradually decreasing;the proportion of the aging population is gradually increasing and gradually entering the deep aging stage;the birth rate is low,and the number of births has continued to decline;the urbanization rate is slow,and the rural population is decreasing;the population is concentrated on the center of the city;the level of education received by the population is continuously improving.The educational resources of vocational education in Jilin Province show a trend of continuous decline in the development of medium vocational education,rapid growth in the development of higher vocational education,and insufficient development of adult education.Under the new population development situation,Jilin Province's vocational education development faces challenges such as a crisis of students,uneven distribution of resources,unequal development of urban and rural areas,and an imbalance between supply and demand of continuing education.Based on this,to achieve high-quality development of vocational education in Jilin Province,a dynamic monitoring mechanism should be established,educational resources should be optimized,educational and teaching reform should be deepened,and the development of continuing education should be accelerated.
岳金凤;盛煜;王斯迪
吉林工程技术师范学院职业技术教育研究院(长春,130052)
教育学
人口预测职业教育教育资源配置生源危机吉林省
population predictionvocational educationeducational resources allocationcrisis of studentsJilin Province
《职业技术教育》 2024 (027)
15-25 / 11
全国教育科学规划教育部重点课题"现代职业教育省级治理绩效评价指标体系的构建研究"(DJA200309),主持人:张鹏
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